When it comes to China’s future democratization, almost all overseas Chinese democracy activists and most Western observers believe that there are only two possibilities: one is to overthrow the Chinese Communist Party regime, and the other is the collapse of the CCP regime from within.

Unfortunately, these two possibilities have not happened in the past forty years. In this case, what basis is there to believe that all this will happen automatically in the future?

People with the above two views ignore that there are another ten thousand possibilities in this world. Their understanding and understanding of human history, China’s reality, and the nature of human nature limit their imagination and, accordingly, their ability to act.

As a technology and art that highly combines ideals with reality, most Chinese people have not even started in this regard. In terms of actual technical capabilities, they are still at the kindergarten stage. This is why China has not started the real secret of the democratic process after nearly 40 years.

The China Progress Pary hopes that people all over the world will master the know-how that can enable China to achieve freedom and democracy, but now is not the time. However, the CPP can tell the world the five major reasons why China cannot achieve freedom, democracy and constitutionalism (which can be deduced into principles):

  1. If a sustained change in worldview cannot be triggered in China, China cannot achieve freedom, democracy and constitutionalism.
  2. If there is no broad mass base in China, China cannot achieve freedom, democracy and constitutionalism.
  3. If at least 10% of the private economic forces that contribute more than 60% to China’s employment, taxation and scientific and technological innovation cannot be won over in the first stage, China cannot achieve freedom, democracy and constitutionalism.
  4. If the liberal factions within the CCP regime (especially those with social democratic tendencies) are not won over, China cannot achieve freedom, democracy and constitutionalism.
  5. If there is no unified party with a sense of mission, a spirit of sacrifice, unity and execution that can achieve the above goals, China cannot achieve freedom, democracy and constitutionalism.

谈到将来中国的民主化,几乎整个海外中国民运人士,以及大多西方的观察家都认为只有两种可能,一是推翻中共政权,二是中共政权从内部瓦解崩溃。

遗憾的是,过去四十年来,这两种可能并没有发生,既然如此,有什么根据认为这一切今后会自动发生?

上述两种观点的人,忽视了这个世界还有另外一万种可能。他们对人类历史、中国的现实、人性本质的认识和理解,限制了他们的想象力,相应的,也制约了他们的行动力。

自由民主宪政作为一门把理想跟现实高度结合的技术和艺术,绝大多数中国人在这方面甚至还没有起步,在实际的技术能力上,他们还处于幼儿园的阶段。这就是为什么近40年过去了,中国为什么还没有开启民主进程的真正秘密。

CPP希望全世界的人都掌握能够让中国实现自由民主的Know-How,但现在不是时候。然而,CPP可以告诉这个世界,不能实现中国自由民主和宪政的5大原因(可推导为原则):

1.如果不能在中国引发一场持续的世界观级别的观念变革,中国不可能实现自由民主和宪政。

2.如果在中国国内没有广泛的群众基础,中国不可能实现自由民主和宪政。

3.如果第一阶段不能把对中国的就业、纳税、科技创新做出贡献都超过60%的民营经济力量的至少10%争取过来,中国不可能实现自由民主和宪政。

4.如果不把中共政权体制内的开明派(尤其是有社民主义倾向的人士)争取过来,中国不可能实现自由民主和宪政。

5.如果没有一个能实现上述目标的有使命感、有牺牲精神、团结一致、有执行力的统一的政党,中国不可能实现自由民主和宪政。